Federal Minister for National Food Security and Research, Rana Tanveer Hussain, chaired a high-level meeting of the Fertilizer Review Committee to comprehensively review the supply–demand situation of urea and other key fertilizers in the country, with a special focus on the ongoing Rabi season, Kharif 2026 projections, and preparedness for Rabi 2026–27. The meeting was attended by senior federal and provincial officials, along with representatives of leading fertilizer companies including FFC, Engro Fertilizer, Fatima Fertilizer, and Agritech.
The meeting was informed that the urea situation during the Rabi season remained largely stable and well-managed. The opening inventory stood at approximately 11.5 lac tonnes, while domestic production reached around 32.32 lac tonnes, bringing total availability to 43.8 lac tonnes. Offtake remained steady at 35.63 lac tonnes, with no signs of panic buying, reflecting market stability and effective supply chain management. The closing stock is estimated at around 8 lac tonnes, which will serve as the opening inventory for the upcoming Kharif season. A buffer stock of approximately 5 lac tonnes was maintained; however, concerns were raised regarding its adequacy during peak demand months, particularly December and January. It was also noted that Agritech faced gas supply constraints, which impacted optimal production levels.
Looking ahead to Kharif 2026, the meeting reviewed the overall fertilizer supply–demand outlook and discussed necessary measures to ensure smooth availability during the season. The Federal Minister directed all stakeholders to take proactive and practical steps to enhance production efficiency and maintain adequate availability in the market. Emphasis was placed on ensuring uninterrupted operations of fertilizer plants, particularly through consistent gas supply, so that supply pressures can be effectively managed and market stability sustained.
The meeting also undertook detailed scenario planning for the upcoming Rabi 2026–27 season. Various production and supply scenarios were discussed, particularly in relation to the operational status of key plants such as FFC (Port Qasim), Fatima Fertilizer, and Agritech. It was observed that delayed operations or shutdowns during the Kharif period could lead to significant pressure on buffer stocks during the peak Rabi months of December, January, and February. Conversely, early and full operationalization of all plants, especially from May or July onwards, would substantially improve availability and ensure a more comfortable supply position. The Minister directed the committee to present a consolidated and realistic scenario assuming all plants become operational from July 1, 2026, along with projected production gains over the subsequent months. It was noted that Port Qasim alone could contribute an additional 2 to 2.5 lac tonnes over a six-month period.
The meeting further noted that urea demand may witness an upward trend during Kharif 2026 due to improved farm economics compared to last year. However, serious concerns were raised regarding the potential for smuggling along the western border due to a significant price differential between domestic and international markets, with local prices around Rs. 4,500 per 50 kg bag compared to approximately Rs. 14,000 internationally. The Minister emphasized strict vigilance and monitoring to prevent illegal movement and ensure domestic availability.
Farmer affordability also emerged as a key concern during the meeting. Rising input costs and reduced purchasing power are likely to affect farmers’ ability to apply optimal fertilizer quantities, particularly DAP, which could adversely impact crop yields and overall agricultural productivity. The Minister stressed the need for coordinated efforts to safeguard farmer interests and maintain balanced fertilizer usage.
The meeting also reviewed pricing dynamics and market behavior in the urea sector. Concerns were raised regarding price variations among different brands, leading to market distortions and preferential demand for lower-priced products. The industry representatives clarified that prices are largely market-driven and that value-added products cater to specific segments. They assured the Minister that there would be no artificial shortages or exploitative practices, and that supply would remain uninterrupted.
The situation of DAP fertilizer was also discussed in detail. For Kharif 2026, no imports have been planned due to global uncertainties and logistical challenges in securing vessels. The Minister informed participants that the Ministry of Maritime Affairs has been engaged and has agreed to facilitate vessel availability through the Pakistan National Shipping Corporation. He also emphasized the need for strict price monitoring and directed that all possible measures be taken to ensure smooth supply and prevent further price escalation.
Concluding the meeting, Rana Tanveer Hussain reaffirmed the government’s commitment to ensuring uninterrupted availability of fertilizers at affordable prices as a cornerstone of national food security. He directed all stakeholders to maintain close coordination, enhance transparency in supply chains, and take proactive measures to address emerging challenges in order to avoid any shortages during critical cropping seasons.
